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SIA attaches property of Pak-based terrorist in Kupwara

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SIA files chargesheet in Surankote temple grenade attack case

Srinagar, June 16: In a significant move to counter terrorism and dismantle its support infrastructure in Jammu and Kashmir, the State Investigation Agency (SIA) of J&K Police has attached a property of Pakistan-based terrorist in Kupwara.

The property as per a statement issued to the news agency—Kashmir News Observer (KNO), belongs to Ab Hamid Lone, S/O Ab Aziz Lone, R/O Mawar Bala Qalamabad, Handwara, District Kupwara.

“The immovable property attached comprises land bearing Khasra No. 110-min (02 Kanal 03 Marlas) and Khasra No. 115-min (01 Kanal 16 Marlas). The attachment has been made after following due legal process and with proper authorization from the Hon’ble NIA Court, Kulgam,” a police spokesman said.

The accused, Ab Hamid Lone, is an absconding terrorist wanted in FIR number 02/2023 of Police Station CIK/SIA Kashmir, for his involvement in multiple offences under Sections 13, 17, 18, 21, 39, 40 of the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act (UAPA) and Section 120-B of the Indian Penal Code (IPC). “He has been evading arrest to avoid legal proceedings following his active participation in terrorist activities.”

The property attachment was executed in the presence of an Executive Magistrate, ensuring full compliance with statutory procedures, the spokesman added.

“This action represents a significant milestone in the continuing investigation into unlawful and anti-national activities in the region. It also reflects the SIA’s unwavering commitment to neutralize terrorist threats, safeguard national security, and uphold peace and rule of law in Jammu and Kashmir,” the statement reads.

The SIA, J&K, in collaboration with other security and intelligence agencies, remains steadfast in its resolve to take stringent actions against individuals and entities involved in activities that threaten the sovereignty, integrity, and unity of the nation.

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PM Modi awarded highest civilian honour of Cyprus

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PM Modi awarded highest civilian honour of Cyprus

Nicosia [Cyprus], June 16: Prime Minister Narendra Modi was awarded the Grand Cross of the Order of Makarios III – the highest honour in Cyprus, by President Nikos Christodoulides at the Presidential Palace in Nicosia on Monday.

The Order of Makarios III, the highest merit honour awarded in Cyprus, is named after Makarios III, the first president of the Republic of Cyprus. It is conferred upon heads of state and other people of significant status in recognition of meritorious service to the nation.

PM Modi expressed gratitude to President Christodoulides, the government and people of Cyprus for the honour.

“President, for the Grand Cross of the Order of Makarios III, I express heartfelt gratitude to you, the Government of Cyprus and the people of Cyprus. This honour is not just mine, it is the honour of 140 crore Indians. It is the honour of their capabilities and aspirations. It is the honour of our country’s cultural brotherhood and the ideology of “Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam. I dedicate this honour to the friendly relations between India and Cyprus and our shared values and mutual understanding. On behalf of all Indians, I accept this honour with utmost humility and gratitude,” PM Modi said.

He further said, “This honour symbolises our unwavering commitment to peace, security, sovereignty, territorial integrity and prosperity of our people. I understand the significance of this honour and accept it as a responsibility towards the relations between India and Cyprus.”

He expressed confidence that the ties between two nations will touch new heights.

He stated, “I am confident that in the time to come, our active partnership will touch new heights. Together, we will not only strengthen the progress of our two nations but also contribute towards building a peaceful and secure global environment.”

In a post on X, Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal stated, “An award dedicated to the trusted India-Cyprus friendship & 1.4 billion people of India. President @Christodulides conferred PM @narendramodi with the ‘Grand Cross of the Order of Makarios III’ of Cyprus. The honour reflects the enduring India – Cyprus bilateral partnership and shared commitment to work together for the common vision for peace, progress and prosperity.”

Christodoulides welcomed PM Modi to the Presidential Palace in Nicosia earlier today. The Cypriot President and PM Modi introduced each other to the delegates from their respective countries.

In a post on X, Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal stated, “Strengthening ties with a trusted partner. PM @narendramodi was warmly received by President @Christodulides at the Presidential Palace in Nicosia today and accorded a ceremonial welcome. Official talks lie ahead.”

PM Modi had arrived in Cyprus on Sunday afternoon (local time), marking the first visit by an Indian PM to the island nation in over two decades. He was received by the Cypriot President at Larnaca International Airport.

He received a heartfelt welcome from the Indian diaspora in Limassol.

Upon his arrival, PM Modi, along with Cyprus President Christodoulides, interacted with leading CEOs during the business roundtable. During the interaction, PM Modi spoke about India’s reform trajectory in the last decade.

In a post on X, PM Modi said, “Boosting business linkages! President Nikos Christodoulides and I interacted with leading CEOs to add vigour to commercial linkages between India and Cyprus. Sectors like innovation, energy, technology and more offer immense potential. I also talked about India’s reform trajectory in the last decade.”

The Cyprus Presidency in a post on X said that Cyprus is deepening and expanding economic cooperation with India.

It said, “Roundtable discussion with the Indian Prime Minister and members of the Cyprus and Indian business communities: Today, we are building more bridges; we are deepening and expanding economic cooperation between Cyprus and India. Together, we are entering a new era of strategic partnership, founded on trust and our shared values, driven by innovation and inspired by our rich historical journey and the vast horizon that opens before us. Together, Cyprus and India send a strong message of cooperation and prosperity, and at the same time, a message of hope.”

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Gold falls Rs 170 to Rs 1,01,370 per 10 g amid weak global cues

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Gold climbs Rs 1,400 to Rs 96,450 per 10 g; silver jumps Rs 1,000

New Delhi, June 16: Gold prices fell Rs 170 to Rs 1,01,370 per 10 grams in the national capital on Monday amid weak global trends, according to the All India Sarafa Association.

The precious metal of 99.9 per cent purity had closed at Rs 1,01,540 per 10 grams on Friday.

Gold of 99.5 per cent purity slipped by Rs 150 to Rs 1,00,550 per 10 grams (inclusive of all taxes). The metal had settled at Rs 1,00,700 per 10 grams in the previous session.

Additionally, silver prices declined by Rs 1,000 to Rs 1,07,100 per kilogram (inclusive of all taxes) on Monday. The white metal had ended at Rs 1,08,100 per kg on Friday.

In the futures trade, the most traded August contract for gold was trading lower at Rs 99,918 per 10 grams, down by Rs 358 on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX).

“Gold traded in a narrow range near Rs 99,800, as profit booking was witnessed following reports of multiple potential trade deals between India-US, India-China, and US-Euro zones.

“This moderation in safe-haven demand led to a mild correction in gold in the international markets as well,” Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities, said.

Meanwhile, the precious metal climbed Rs 802 to hit a lifetime high of Rs 1,01,078 per 10 grams in the morning session on the MCX.

Globally, spot gold fell by USD 13.23 per ounce to trade at USD 3,419.41 per ounce.

“Gold prices corrected slightly but continue to hover near record highs as escalating tensions between Israel and Iran drive investors toward safe-haven assets,” Abans Financial Services’ Chief Executive Officer Chintan Mehta said.

Traders believe continued uncertainty in the Middle East will keep bullion prices well-supported, Mehta said.

According to Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research, Kotak Securities, investors this week will look forward to a host of central bank monetary policy decisions, including US Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday.

The central bank’s economic projections will provide further guidance on the potential interest rate cuts in the months ahead, Chainwala said.

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Top headlines from Kashmir and beyond

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Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu assures "fair and thorough" investigation into Ahmedabad plane crash

Srinagar, June 16: Key headlines from Kashmir and around the world this past week

Plane crash: DNA tests identify 47 victims including ex-CM Rupani; 24 bodies handed over to kin

The Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner crashed into a medical college complex moments after taking off from Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel International Airport at 1:39 PM on Thursday. So far 29 people are reported to have died in the disaster on the ground which includes five MBBS students. Only one person from the aircraft miraculously survived.

Due to the severe condition of many bodies—burnt or disfigured—authorities are relying on DNA matching for identification.

“A total of 47 plane crash victims have been identified so far through DNA matching. Of these, the bodies of 24 victims have been handed over to their respective families. These deceased were from Rajasthan and different parts of Gujarat,” Additional Civil Superintendent Dr. Rajnish Patel told reporters.

Reopening of tourist spots: Move rekindles hope in Pahalgam

Nearly two months after a deadly attack in the Baisaran meadows killed 25 tourists and a local pony operator, the Jammu and Kashmir government’s decision to reopen several parks and sightseeing spots in Pahalgam has revived hopes for the destination’s struggling tourism sector. Nestled in the picturesque Lidder valley in south Kashmir, Pahalgam was teeming with visitors until the April 22 attack brought the flow of tourists to a halt.

In the aftermath, authorities shut down 40 tourist destinations across Jammu and Kashmir, including major attractions in Pahalgam.

 

CM Omar Abdullah speaks to EAM Jaishankar over safety of Kashmiri students in Iran

In a post on X (formerly Twitter) Omar Abdullah said: “Just spoke to @DrSJaishankar regarding the situation in Iran, particularly the welfare & safety of Kashmiri students in the country. The Hon Minister assured me that @MEAIndia is in close contact with their counterparts in Iran & will take all necessary steps to safeguard all Indian students in Iran”.

Earlier in a day, Omar Abdullah on its official X handle of Office of Chief Minister, J&K stated: “I’m in touch with @MEAIndia regarding the evolving situation in Iran, particularly with regard to the students from Kashmir in Tehran, Shiraz, Qom & other cities. They, in turn, are in close contact with the authorities in Iran”.

Rising Israel-Iran conflict, India faces growing threats to its energy security, trade routes, and commercial ties: GTRI

The report urged the Indian government to ensure that the country’s strategic oil reserves are sufficient to handle any possible crisis. It stated, “India, though not a party to the conflict, cannot afford complacency. The government must urgently review energy risk scenarios, diversify crude sourcing, and ensure strategic reserves are sufficient”.

Indian Army foils infiltration bid along LoC in J&K’s Rajouri

According to the sources, “Indian Army troops on LoC foiled an infiltration attempt of heavily armed terrorists who were trying to sneak in from AIOS at Barat-Gala in Keri sub sector of Rajouri.”

LG meets family of martyr Syed Adil Hussain, hands over appointment letter to his wife 

The Lieutenant Governor paid homage to the martyr civilian and assured the family of concrete measures and continuous support so that they may live a life of dignity. “The whole country is proud of the bravery of Adil. The Government job to martyr Adil’s wife symbolizes our deep gratitude to the brave civilian who sacrificed his life while protecting tourists at Pahalgam on 22nd April,” the Lieutenant Governor said.

Iran’s top diplomat says that if Israeli attacks stop, ‘our responses will also stop’

There was no immediate reaction from Israel, which had been continuing strikes Sunday across Iran. Araghchi’s appearance came on a day he was initially scheduled to be negotiating with the United States in Oman over Tehran’s rapidly advancing nuclear program. But the negotiations fell apart amid the Israeli attacks.

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Adequate medical facilities in place for Amarnath Yatra pilgrims: Sakina Itoo

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Adequate medical facilities in place for Amarnath Yatra pilgrims: Sakina Itoo

Ganderbal, June 16: Jammu and Kashmir Health Minister, Sakina Itoo Monday said that adequate health related arrangements will be put in place for the well-being of devotees during the upcoming Amarnath Yatra. The annual yatra will commence from July 03.

The Health Minister, per news agency—Kashmir News Observer (KNO), visited Sonamarg to assess the preparedness of medical facilities for the pilgrims. She was accompanied by MLA Kangan, Main Mehar Ali and several top officials.

Speaking with reporters, she said that the government is committed to ensure adequate medical facilities for the devotees to ensure the smooth conduct of the yatra.

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India positioned to become world’s third-largest economy, says PM Modi in Cyprus

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India positioned to become world’s third-largest economy, says PM Modi in Cyprus

Nicosia, Jun 16: India will soon become the third-largest economy in the world, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has said, highlighting myriad economic opportunities the country offers to companies from Cyprus.

Modi, who is in Cyprus on the first leg of his three-nation tour, made the remarks as he, along with Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides, attended a business roundtable on Sunday in Limassol, a city on the southern coast of Cyprus.

The Prime Minister highlighted India’s rapid economic transformation in the last 11 years and noted that the country, propelled by next-generation reforms, policy predictability, stable polity and Ease of Doing Business, has become the fastest-growing major economy in the world, the External Affairs Ministry in New Delhi said in a statement.

Emphasising the primacy being given to innovation, digital revolution, start-ups and futuristic infrastructure development, he expressed confidence that India, the fifth largest economy in the world, was well positioned to become the third largest in a few years’ time.

“India will soon become the third-largest economy in the world. India is one of the biggest emerging economies. We have implemented tax reforms, Goods and Services Tax, rationalised corporate tax, decriminalised laws, and are focusing on ‘trust of doing business’, along with ease of doing business.”

He said that steady growth in India’s civil aviation, port, shipbuilding, digital payments and green development sectors has opened myriad opportunities for companies from Cyprus to partner with India, the statement said.

“For the first time in 23 years, an Indian Prime Minister has visited Cyprus, and the first event that has been organised is the business roundtable meeting. This shows the importance of business leaders in the India-Cyprus relationship,” the Prime Minister said.

He also underlined the strengths of India’s skilled talent and start-up ecosystem and highlighted manufacturing, AI, quantum, semiconductor and critical minerals as new and emerging areas contributing to India’s growth story.

“You all (business leaders) are aware of India’s talent and demographic dividend. In the last 10 years, a digital revolution has taken place in India. Around 50 per cent of the world’s digital transactions take place in India, thanks to the Unified Payments Interface or UPI. Countries like France are associated with this, and talks are also underway with Cyprus for this, and I welcome this move,” he said.

Prime Minister noted that Cyprus was a significant economic partner for India, particularly in the Foreign Direct Investment sector and welcomed the keen interest in Cyprus for new investments into the Indian economy.

Modi highlighted the “immense potential for growth” in bilateral ties.

Cyprus has been a “reliable partner to India for a long time now,” he said.

Modi called Cyprus a “famous tourist destination” and added that India, too, is focusing on destination development and management, and so, “close collaboration between our tour operators will be a ‘win-win’”.

He added that many other sectors also have the potential for such collaborations.

Highlighting the potential for business engagement in the financial services sector, the two leaders welcomed the signing of an MOU between the NSE International Exchange GIFT CITY, Gujarat and the Cyprus Stock Exchange, the statement said.

NIPL (NPCI International Payments Limited) and the Eurobank Cyprus reached an understanding on introducing UPI for cross-border payments between the two countries, which would benefit tourists and businesses, it said.

Prime Minister also welcomed the launch of the India–Greece–Cyprus (IGC) Business and Investment Council, which will foster trilateral cooperation in sectors such as shipping, logistics, renewable energy, civil aviation and digital services.

Prime Minister welcomed the fact that many Indian companies see Cyprus as a gateway to Europe and a hub for IT services, financial management, and tourism.

As Cyprus prepares to assume the Presidency of the EU Council next year, the two leaders reaffirmed their commitment to further strengthen India-EU Strategic Partnership, the statement said.

They expressed optimism about concluding the India-EU Free Trade Agreement by the end of the year which would also give a major boost to trade and economic cooperation between the two countries.

Prime Minister underlined that the business roundtable had given practical suggestions which would form the basis for a structured economic roadmap, ensuring long-term collaboration in trade, innovation and strategic sectors, he added.

With shared aspirations and a future-focused approach, India and Cyprus are poised for a new era of dynamic and mutually beneficial economic cooperation, the statement said.

The participants of the roundtable represented diverse sectors such as banking, financial institutions, manufacturing, defence, logistics, maritime, shipping, technology, innovation, digital technologies, AI, IT services, tourism and mobility.

In a post on X after the meeting, Modi said, “Boosting business linkages! President Nikos Christodoulides and I interacted with leading CEOs in order to add vigour to commercial linkages between India and Cyprus.”

“Sectors like innovation, energy, technology and more offer immense potential. I also talked about India’s reform trajectory in the last decade,” he added.

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Census to be conducted in 2027, MHA issues notification

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Census to be conducted in 2027, MHA issues notification

Srinagar, June 16: The Ministry of Home Affairs on Monday (MHA) formally announced that the next census of India will be conducted in the year 2027.

According to a notification issued by MHA, a copy of which is in news agency—Kashmir News Observer (KNO), the reference for the Union Territory of Ladakh and the snow-bound, non-synchronous areas of Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand shall be 00:00 hours on October 1, 2026.

For the remaining parts of the country, the census reference date will be 00:00 hours on March 1, 2027.

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3 injured in explosion during mosque demolition in Handwara

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3 injured in explosion during mosque demolition in Handwara

Handwara, June 16: At least three people were injured after an explosion occurred during demolition of a mosque in the Kasheri area of Handwara in north Kashmir this morning.

Details available with the news agency—Kashmir News Observer (KNO), state that the incident took place while locals were razing the old structure to pave way for a new one.

The blast happened unexpectedly amid the demolition activity, injuring three individuals who were shifted to a nearby health facility, where their condition is stated to be stable.

The injured have been identified as Mudasir Ahmad Mir of Nutnoosa, Ghulam Ahmad Tantray of Kachri and Owais Ahmad of Hadipora.

Soon after the explosion, security forces rushed to the spot and cordoned off the area. A team of police officials is currently investigating the nature and origin of the blast.

Superintendent of Police Handwara told KNO that the cause of the explosion is being ascertained and further investigation is underway.

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Rising Israel-Iran conflict, India faces growing threats to its energy security, trade routes, and commercial ties: GTRI

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Rising Israel-Iran conflict, India faces growing threats to its energy security, trade routes, and commercial ties: GTRI

New Delhi, June 16: The Indian Government should review energy risk scenarios, diversify crude sourcing and ensure strategic reserves of oil amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, according to a report by GTRI.

The Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) has warned that India, though not directly involved in the Iran-Israel conflict, cannot afford to remain complacent.

The report urged the Indian government to ensure that the country’s strategic oil reserves are sufficient to handle any possible crisis.

It stated, “India, though not a party to the conflict, cannot afford complacency. The government must urgently review energy risk scenarios, diversify crude sourcing, and ensure strategic reserves are sufficient”.

It further highlighted the need for stronger military preparedness in the Arabian Sea, especially around vital sea lanes and choke points.

Diplomatically, the report recommends that India should use international platforms such as the G20 and the United Nations to push for peace, de-escalation, and protection of global trade routes.
As tensions in West Asia rise, India faces growing threats to its energy security, trade routes, and commercial ties. The report states that the intensifying Israel-Iran conflict could have serious consequences for India’s economy.

India has major trade exposure with both nations. In FY2025, India exported goods worth USD 1.24 billion to Iran and imported goods worth USD 441.9 million. Trade with Israel is even larger, with USD 2.15 billion in exports and USD 1.61 billion in imports.

However, the bigger concern of India right now is energy. Nearly two-thirds of India’s crude oil and half of its LNG imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway now threatened by Iran.

The Strait of Hormuz, just 21 miles wide at its narrowest point, handles nearly one-fifth of global oil trade.

Since India depends on imports for over 80 per cent of its energy needs, any disruption here would lead to a sharp rise in oil prices, shipping costs, and insurance premiums.
GTRI stated that this could fuel inflation, weaken the rupee, and create challenges for the government’s financial planning.

In addition, the report mentioned that nearly 30 per cent of India’s westbound exports to Europe, North Africa, and the U.S. East Coast pass through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
This route is now also at risk. If shipping is forced to take the longer route around the Cape of Good Hope, transit times could go up by two weeks, and freight costs would rise significantly.
This would affect Indian exports such as engineering goods, textiles, and chemicals, and raise the cost of important imports.

The recent conflict arose when Israel launched “Operation Rising Lion” on June 13. Over 200 aircraft and Mossad-led drones attacked Iran’s military and nuclear sites.
Iran also launched more than 150 ballistic missiles and drone swarms on Israeli cities like Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.

Casualties are rising, GTRI stated that now, with U.S.-Iran nuclear talks cancelled, diplomatic efforts have broken down. Regional financial markets are also under pressure.

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Nuclear arms back in focus amid growing global divide

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Nuclear arms back in focus amid growing global divide

New Delhi, June 16: The world is edging toward a new and more dangerous nuclear arms race, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), one of the most credible, independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament has warned in its Yearbook 2025, released this week.

In an introduction to the annual publication, SIPRI Director Dan Smith says that the framework for nuclear arms control is crumbling, and with it, the fragile restraints on the expansion and modernization of nuclear arsenals. “The signs are that a new arms race is gearing up that carries much more risk and uncertainty than the last one,” he cautions.

India, meanwhile, continues to advance its nuclear capabilities. SIPRI estimates that India modestly expanded its nuclear arsenal in 2024 and is developing a range of new delivery systems. Among them are ‘canisterized’ missiles, which allow for quicker deployment by carrying warheads in a ready-to-launch format, potentially even during peacetime.

SIPRI states that these systems may eventually be able to carry multiple warheads, further enhancing India’s strategic posture. The development aligns with a regional trend: Pakistan is also expanding its capabilities, and tensions between the two countries briefly erupted into armed conflict in early 2025.

According to SIPRI’s Matt Korda, “the combination of strikes on nuclear-related military infrastructure and third-party disinformation risked turning a conventional conflict into a nuclear crisis.”

The SIPRI Yearbook 2025 presents a grim overview of global nuclear trends. Of the estimated 12,241 nuclear warheads in existence at the start of the year, around 9614 are in military stockpiles for potential use, and 3912 are deployed with missiles and aircraft. Around 2100 of these are on high operational alert, mostly in the hands of the United States and Russia.

“The era of reductions in the number of nuclear weapons in the world, which had lasted since the end of the cold war, is coming to an end,” notes Hans M. Kristensen, a senior fellow at SIPRI and Director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. Instead, he says, the world is witnessing growing stockpiles, aggressive modernization efforts, and deteriorating arms control mechanisms.

China is the fastest-growing nuclear power, now believed to have over 600 warheads and rapidly building hundreds of new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos. By 2035, it could possess as many as 1500 warheads, still far fewer than the U.S. or Russia, but enough to alter strategic calculations globally. Beijing’s arsenal expansion, according to U.S. officials, is one reason Washington is under pressure to include China in any future arms control negotiations. However, no such talks are currently underway.

While Russia and the United States maintain about 90 percent of the world’s nuclear stockpiles, bilateral nuclear arms control is in tatters. The New START treaty, the last major agreement limiting their arsenals, is set to expire in 2026. Dan Smith observes that “there are no signs of negotiations to renew or replace it, or that either side wants to do so.” U.S. President Donald Trump insists any new treaty must include China.

Technological advances are accelerating instability. SIPRI warns that new tools ranging from artificial intelligence (AI) and cyber operations to space-based sensors, missile defences, and quantum technologies, are reshaping deterrence and crisis dynamics. As Smith notes, “AI and other technologies speed up decision making in crises, [so] there is a higher risk of a nuclear conflict breaking out as a result of miscommunication, misunderstanding or technical accident.”

Traditional arms control frameworks, which rely on numerical limits, may no longer be adequate in this rapidly evolving landscape.

Beyond the nine nuclear-armed states—the U.S., Russia, the UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel—SIPRI year book sees growing interest among other nations.

In Europe, East Asia, and the Middle East, national debates have intensified around nuclear weapons development and hosting. Belarus continues to claim that Russian nuclear arms are now stationed on its territory. Some NATO countries have expressed willingness to host U.S. weapons. French President Emmanuel Macron has revived calls for a “European dimension” to France’s nuclear deterrent.

The risks are not merely theoretical. As Korda notes, nuclear weapons “do not prevent conflict” and may even increase dangers. “They also come with immense risks of escalation and catastrophic miscalculation, particularly when disinformation is rife, and may end up making a country’s population less safe, not more.”

North Korea, for its part, continues to expand its nuclear programme, with around 50 warheads already assembled and material for 40 more, according to SIPRI. South Korean intelligence believes Pyongyang is close to deploying a tactical nuclear weapon. In Israel, which maintains ambiguity about its arsenal, testing activity at missile sites and reactor upgrades suggest continued modernization.

Even in countries with mature arsenals, modernization is both extensive and expensive. The United States faces delays and cost overruns in replacing its strategic systems, while Russia’s programme has suffered from failed missile tests and slower-than-expected upgrades. Still, both powers are poised to expand deployed warheads once treaty constraints lapse.

India’s growing capabilities reflect the shifting centre of nuclear gravity to Asia. As SIPRI notes, the South Asian region remains one of the most volatile nuclear flashpoints. The brief hostilities between India and Pakistan earlier this year, though contained, highlighted the thin line between conventional and nuclear conflict.

With the architecture of arms control fraying and global security deteriorating, compounded by the wars in Ukraine, Gaza, and elsewhere, the SIPRI Yearbook 2025 delivers a stark message: the world is entering an era of growing nuclear danger, with fewer guardrails than ever before.

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